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But a new study examines what would happen if the burning of fossil fuels continues for centuries and we gobble up a conservative estimate of everything that's left to extract. The SCIENCE BENCHMARKS describe the science content students should know. As Dr Knutti puts it, “the bottom line is that there are several lines of evidence, where the observed trends are pushing down, whereas the models are pushing up, so my personal view is that the overall assessment hasn’t changed much.” But given the hiatus in warming and all the new evidence, a small reduction in estimates of climate sensitivity would seem to be justified: a downwards nudge on various best estimates from 3°C to 2.5°C, perhaps; a lower ceiling (around 4.5°C), certainly.
Pages: 306
Publisher: Routledge (April 7, 2016)
ISBN: 1138184098
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