One scenario involves antiballistic missiles (ABMs). China is estimated to have an arsenal of around 400 nuclear warheads, down from 435 in 1993. The doctrine specifies if the state retains the option of initiating a nuclear attack (first use) or if it will use its weapons only in retaliation of a nuclear attack (no first use). However, there are numerous suggestions that future wars are likely to be caused by industrialized states’ aspirations, primarily the United States, to establish control over critical resources, many of them available in Russia (hydrocarbons, fresh water, etc).

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