Small nuclear powers will neither have them nor need them. It’s hard to tell how anyone—even the Communists—would have known the base was there. In two ways:� by deducing expectations from the structure of the international political system and by inferring expectations from past events and patterns. The model used in the simulation is not comprehensive. The PNAC is a neo-conservative think tank linked to the Defense-Intelligence establishment, the Republican Party and the powerful Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) which plays a behind-the-scenes role in the formulation of US foreign policy.

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